Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Result Flash - Hero Honda - 4QFY2011

Dear All,

 

Forwarding you the Result Flash on Hero Honda for 4QFY2011 with a Neutral recommendation.

 

Y/E March (Rs cr)

4QFY11

4QFY10

% chg (yoy)

Angel est

% diff

Net Sales

5,391

4,122

30.8

5,305

1.6

Operating Profit

830

712

16.6

590

40.6

Reported  OPM (%)

15.4

17.3

(187)bp

11.1

427bp

Adjusted OPM (%)

12.1

17.3

(520)bp

11.1

100bp

Reported PAT

502

599

(16.2)

484

3.7

Source: Company, Angel Research

 

Review

 

v  HH registered an in-line net sales growth for 4QFY2011, up by a strong 30.8% yoy and 4.4% qoq to Rs5,391cr. The growth was primarily driven by 22.6% yoy increase in volumes and 6.7% yoy increase in average net realisation following better product mix and price increases. On a sequential basis, volumes and realization grew by 1.8% and 2.6%, respectively.

v  As per the new licensing agreement with Honda Motor Co, Honda has given Hero Honda the rights and license to manufacture, assemble, sell and distribute certain products/parts and export license for certain products under the intellectual property rights which now forms a part of the intangible asset of Hero Honda and will be amortized over a period of forty two months starting from January 2011. As a result of this change, company reported an amount of ~Rs177cr under depreciation and amortization, which earlier used to be reported as a part of other expenditure.   

 

Adjusting for this change in accounting policy, operating margins came in 100bp ahead of our estimates at 12.1%. However, it declined 520bp on a yoy basis and 130bp on a qoq basis. Contraction in margin can be attributed to the increase in input costs which led to 574bp increase in raw-material costs for the company.

 

v  Net Profit for the quarter declined by 16.2% yoy to Rs502cr mainly due to the decline in operating margins. Further, increase in tax rate during the quarter also affected the bottom-line performance negatively.

 

Outlook

 

v  At Rs1600, HH is trading at 15x and 13.9x FY2012E and FY2013E earnings, respectively. We maintain our Neutral rating on the stock and shall come up with a detailed result update soon.

 

 

Quarterly Performance

 

 

Y/E March (Rs cr)

4QFY11

4QFY10

% chg

FY2011

FY2010

% chg

Net Sales

5,391

4,122

30.8

19,401

15,861

22.3

Consumption of RM

3,927

2,768

41.8

14,111

10,736

31.4

(% of Sales)

72.8

67.2

568.5

72.7

67.7

 

Staff Costs

168.0

146.0

15.1

619.0

560.3

10.5

(% of Sales)

3.1

3.5

 

3.2

3.5

 

Other Expenses

466.1

496.2

(6.1)

2,054

1,797

14.3

(% of Sales)

8.6

12.0

 

10.6

11.3

 

Total Expenditure

4,561

3,411

33.7

16,784

13,094

28.2

Operating Profit

830

712

16.6

2,617

2,767

(5.4)

OPM

15.4

17.3

 

13.5

17.4

 

Interest




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