Dear All,
Forwarding you the Result Update on Balrampur Chini Mills for 6QFY2011 with a Neutral recommendation.
Balrampur Chini Mills (BRCM) reported a strong performance for 6QFY2011 due to lower cane cost. Total sales were flat at `468cr in 6QFY2011, while PAT tripled to `113cr. As the company is switching to March year ending, we have accordingly revised our estimates. At current levels, the stock is trading at fair valuations; hence, we remain Neutral on the stock.
Low raw-material cost coupled with high contribution from other segment helps PAT grow: Gross margin almost doubled to 68% in 6QFY2011 from 35% in 2QFY2011 due to lower cane cost. BRCM incurred cost of `2,160/tonne of cane in 6QFY2011 against `2,050/tonne in 2QFY2011. During the quarter, levy sugar quota stood at 10% of the total sugar production against 20% in the last year. Given that levy sugar is sold at a loss, reduction in levy sugar quota led to lower losses. At the same time, sale of distillery and cogen increased by 38% and 33% during the quarter, which further improved the company’s overall profitability. Total PAT for the quarter more than tripled to `113cr during the quarter.
Outlook and valuation: Going ahead, we expect sugar prices to remain at `28–30/kg. Domestic ex-mill prices have corrected from the highs of `42/kg to `28–29/kg, while the cost of inventory is at `28/kg. However, due to declaration of SAP by the UP government, margins in the sugar business are likely to be under pressure. At current levels, the stock is trading at fair valuations of 1.3x P/B and 1.0x enterprise value/invested capital on SY2012 estimates. Hence, we maintain our Neutral view on the stock.
Kindly click on the following link to view the Report.
Balrampur Chini Mills - RU6QFY2011
If you have any further queries, feel free to call us on 022 39357600, Extn: 6865 or mail us at advisory@angelbroking.com
With best regards,
Fundamental Advisory Desk
Angel Broking
Akruti Star,6th Floor, Road No.7,MIDC, Andheri (E),Mumbai – 93.
Call : (91) (022) 39357600 Ext. 6865
Website : www.angelbroking.com
Disclaimer: Ours is an advisory role. The final decision and consequences based on our information is solely yours. Moreover, in keeping with regulatory guidelines, we do not guarantee any returns on investments. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
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