Saturday, May 14, 2011

ABB India - RU1QCY2011 - Sell

Dear All,

 

Forwarding you the Result Update on ABB India for 1QCY2011 with a Sell recommendation and a Target Price of `637 (12 months).

 

ABB India (ABB) bounced back with strong set of numbers for 1QCY2011 after reporting disappointing results for the last few quarters. The company reported strong 21.5% yoy top-line growth to `1,793cr (`1,475cr), 5.7% higher than our expectation of `1,697cr. PAT also increased to `60cr (`7cr) on a low base effect, in line with our estimate of `62cr. We maintain a Sell view on the stock.

Power systems segment drives revenue growth; margin improves: For 1QCY2011, ABB’s revenue grew by 21.5% yoy to `1,793cr (`1,475cr), largely aided by 49.6% yoy growth in the power systems segment. Other segments – process automation and low-voltage products – also delivered positive results by growing 15.1% and 33.3%, respectively. Profitability across segments improved on a yoy basis as well as qoq basis. The company’s performance also improved on the operational front, with margin improvement of 416bp yoy to 5.7% (6.5% estimated). Strong revenue growth coupled with margin expansion and other income resulted in an eight-fold yoy increase in PAT to `60cr (`7cr).

Outlook and valuation: ABB is back on track after reporting disappointing performance over the past several quarters.  However, we believe pricing pressures in the T&D segment are likely to continue on account of increased competition from foreign joint ventures (JVs) and relaxation of pre-qualification norms by PGCIL. Historically, the stock has traded in a wide range of 16–80x forward earnings. At current levels, the stock trades at 42.5x CY2011 EPS and 36.7x CY2012E EPS. We assign a multiple of 27x CY12 EPS to arrive at a target price of `637. We maintain our Sell view on the stock with a revised target price of `637 (`595).

 

Kindly click on the following link to view the Report.

 

ABB India - RU1QCY2011

 

 

If you have any further queries, feel free to call us on 022 39357600, Extn: 6865 or mail us at advisory@angelbroking.com

With best regards,

Fundamental Advisory Desk

Angel Broking

Akruti Star,6th Floor, Road No.7,MIDC, Andheri (E),Mumbai – 93.

Call         : (91) (022) 39357600 Ext. 6865

Website  : www.angelbroking.com

 

Disclaimer: Ours is an advisory role. The final decision and consequences based on our information is solely yours. Moreover, in keeping with regulatory guidelines, we do not guarantee any returns on investments. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.

 




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