Monday, April 25, 2011

Result Flash - Sterlite Industries Ltd - 4QFY2011 - Buy

Dear All,

 

Forwarding you the Result Flash on Sterlite Industries for 4QFY2011 with a Buy recommendation and a Target Price of Rs215 (12 months).

 

 

Sterlite reported stellar profitability for 4QFY2011 beating our expectations. The company reported a robust sales growth of 39.9% yoy to Rs10,000cr in 4QFY2011, above our estimates of Rs9,896cr. Net profit grew 35.1% yoy to Rs1,925cr, above our estimate of Rs1,473cr on account of higher-than-expected profit from on Zinc business. We will review our estimates for FY2012 and FY2013 post conference call today. Meanwhile, we maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs215.

 

 

4QFY2011 consolidated financial result highlights-  

 

·         Net sales increased 39.9% yoy  to Rs10,000cr above our expectation of Rs9,896cr. Net sales growth was primarily driven by increase in zinc and lead sales volumes. Zinc production volumes increased 29.0% yoy to 194,000 tonnes, while lead production volumes declined 10.0% yoy to 18,000 tonnes in 4QFY2011.

 

·         EBITDA increased 22.9% yoy to Rs3,059cr, while EBITDA margin expanded 543bp yoy to 30.6%.

 

·         Other income increased 30.9% yoy to Rs725cr, while tax rate declined 190bps yoy to 17.2% in 4QFY2011. Consequently, net profit  increased 35.1% yoy to Rs1,925cr, significantly above our estimate of Rs1,368cr.

 

 

 

Exhibit 1: 4QFY2011- Actual vs. Estimates

 

(Rs cr)

4QFY11A

4QFY11E

Variation (%)

Net Sales

10,000

9,896

1.1

EBITDA

3,059

2,489

22.9

EBITDA margins (%)

30.6

25.2

543bp

PBT

3,296

2,911

13.2

Adj. net income

1,925

1,473

30.7

Source: Company, Angel Research

 

     

Exhibit 2: 4QFY2011 Performance summary

 

Y/E March (Rs cr)

4QFY11

4QFY10

% chg

FY2011

FY2010

% chg

Net Sales

10,000

7,147

39.9

30,248

24,501

23.5

 - Consumption of Raw Material

4,531

3,467

30.7

14,389

12,139

18.5

(% of Net Sales)

45.3

48.5

 

47.6

49.5

 

 - Power& Fuel

685

493

39.0

2,380

1,953

21.8

(% of Net Sales)

6.8

6.9

 

7.9

8.0

 

 - Staff Costs

368

235

56.2

1,132

854

32.5

(% of Net Sales)

3.7

3.3

 

3.7

3.5

 

 - Other expenses

1,414

913

55.0

4,478

3,261

37.3

(% of Net Sales)

14.1

12.8

 

14.8

13.3

 

Total Expenditure

6,998

5,108

37.0

22,379

18,207

22.9

(% of Net Sales)

70.0

71.5

 

74.0

74.3

 

Operating Income




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