Saturday, April 23, 2011

Result Flash - Reliance Industries - 4QFY2011 - Buy

Dear All,

 

Forwarding you the Result Flash for 4QFY2011 on Reliance Industries with a Buy Recommendation and a Target Price of Rs1,189 (12 months).

 

 

 

Y/E March (` cr)

4QFY2011

4QFY2010

% chg (yoy)

Angel Estimates

Variation (%)

Net Operating Income

72,674

57,570

5.2

77,162

-5.8

EBITDA

9,843

9,154

21.7

10,599

-7.1

EBITDA Margin (%)

13.5

15.9

15.7

13.7

-0.2

Adj. PAT

5,376

4,710

28.1

5,659

-5.0

 

 

RIL reported 14.1% yoy growth in bottom-line to `5,376cr (`4,710cr) backed by better performance by Refining and Petrochemical segment. However, on a sequential basis, PAT grew by 4.7%, which was below our expectation on account of lower-than-expected refining margins. RIL’s top-line during the quarter increased by 26.2% yoy to `72,674cr (`57,570cr) primarily on the back of 22.3% yoy growth in refining revenues to `62,704cr (`51,250cr) and 17.8% yoy increase in the petchem segment's revenue to `18,194cr (`15,448cr). Growth in the refining segment was due to higher crude price. Crude oil processed during the quarter was flat yoy at 16.7mn tonnes. RIL GRMs were higher sequentially at US $9.2/bbl (US $9/bbl), lower than our expectation of US $10/bbl. Benchmark complex Singapore margins during the quarter stood at US $7.4/bbl. Thus, RIL managed to earn a spread of US $1.8/bbl. On the petchem side, this was the best ever quarter for the company in EBIT terms. Petrochemical EBIT margins during the quarter stood lower qoq at 14.4% (15.2%) due to base effect of higher revenues. Thus, OPMs on a qoq basis contracted by 242bp to 13.5% (16%). On a yoy basis as well, OPMs contracted by 233bp yoy to 13.5% (15.9%) on account of dip in production of natural gas at KG basin. Other income and Interest expenditure during the quarter increased by 49.1% and 32.6% yoy to `917cr  and `696cr, whereas depreciation was flat yoy at `3,387cr. Thus, PAT increased by 14.1% yoy to `5,376cr (`4,710cr).

 

 

4QFY2011 Performance (Standalone)

 

Y/E March (Rs cr)

4QFY2011

3QFY2011

% chg (qoq)

4QFY2010

% chg (yoy)

FY2011

FY2010

% chg (yoy)

Net Operating Income

72,674

59,789

21.6

57,570

26.2

248,170

192,461

28.9

COGS

57,533

45,008

27.8

43,304

32.9

189,991

143,971

32.0

Total operating expenditure

62,831

50,244

25.1

48,434

29.7

210,044

161,880

29.8

EBITDA

9,843

9,545

3.1

9,136

7.7

38,126

30,581

24.7

EBITDA Margin (%)

13.5

16.0

 

15.9

 

15.4

15.9

 

Other Income

917

741

23.8

615

49.1

3,052

2,460

24.1

Depreciation

3,387

3,359

0.8

3,392

(0.1)

13,608

10,497

29.6

Interest

696

549

26.8




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